Brazilian economists have reduced their long-term inflation expectations, putting an end to months of unchanged projections that the central bank had cited as a cause for concern, Reuters reported. According to the median forecast of a weekly central bank survey on Monday, 2025 inflation projections now stand at 3.9%, down from the previous estimate of 4.0% calculated since March 24. The expectation for 2026 has also decreased to 3.88% from the previous 4.0% forecast since March 17.
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Argentina's monthly inflation rate likely sped up to 8.8% in May, according to analysts polled by Reuters, as prices in the South America country continue to soar despite a cooling trend in other countries around the region, Reuters reported. Argentina is battling soaring inflation likely to end the year near 150%, sapping people's spending power, pummeling the peso currency and pulling the rug out from under the ruling Peronist coalition ahead of October elections. That's one of the highest rates in the world and the fastest annual reading for the major grains exporter since 1991.
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Peru's central bank expects inflation to converge to its target in 2024, not the end of this year as previously estimated, the bank's manager for economic studies Adrian Armas said on Friday, Reuters reported. The monetary authority's inflation target is between 1% and 3%. At a press conference, Armas attributed the revised forecast to inflationary pressures on food prices. Peru's annual inflation rate slowed to 7.89% in May.
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Investment bankers are counting on massive auctions of energy transmission lines for a pickup in Brazil’s share sales, Bloomberg News reported. Projects demanding as much as 70 billion reais ($14 billion) in investments are expected to be auctioned through the end of 2024 and lure several publicly traded Brazilian firms. These companies, in turn, will likely need to fund their growth through local-debt issuances and share offerings, according to Felipe Thut, the head of Banco Bradesco SA’s investment-banking arm. “The utilities sector is this year’s hottest,” Thut said in an interview.
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Chile’s annual inflation slowed more than forecast in May on falling transportation costs, stoking bets that the central bank will lower its interest rate from an over two-decade high as soon as next month, Bloomberg News reported. Consumer prices increased 8.7% from a year prior, less than the 8.9% median forecast of analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Monthly inflation stood at 0.1%, the national statistics institute reported on Thursday. A closely-watched price gauge that excludes volatile items rose 9.9% in 12 months and 0.5% from April. Chile’s central bank targets inflation of 3%.
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Investor Nelson Tanure said he’ll vote in favor of the bankruptcy process for Rio de Janeiro’s power company Light SA at a Wednesday shareholders’ meeting, making the approval of the measure practically certain, Bloomberg News reported. “We are looking for a completely uniform direction for the company,” Tanure said in an interview. Tanure, a veteran investor in distressed assets in Brazil, holds a 21.8% stake in Light through the fund WNT Gestora de Recursos Ltda, after starting to buy shares when they went declined this year.
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Consumer prices in Brazil decelerated more than expected in May, government data showed on Wednesday, with 12-month inflation hitting its lowest level in more than two years and dropping below the 4% mark for the first time since late 2020, Reuters reported. The figures are likely to add weight to calls by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's government and business people for the central bank to lower its key interest rate from the current six-year high of 13.75%.
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Brazil's central bank abstained from involvement in developing the government's comprehensive consumer debt renegotiation program unveiled on Monday, two central bank directors said on Tuesday, Reuters reported. Speaking at a news conference, Renato Gomes, the director of the financial system organization, said that policymakers solely furnished information without actively contributing to the program's design.
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Brazil’s securities regulator filed the first charges involving the accounting scandal and bankruptcy at retail giant Americanas SA, Bloomberg News reported. The CVM, as the regulator is known, accused the company’s ex-chief executive officer Sergio Rial over “inconsistencies” in the disclosure of a 20 billion reais ($4 billion) accounting hole to the market.
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A deal to rescue one of the biggest suppliers of soybean meal fed to livestock herds around the world is at risk of falling apart because of court delays and Argentina’s worst drought in living memory, Bloomberg News reported. The bankruptcy of Vicentin SAIC more than three years ago upended oilseed trading in Argentina, the top exporting nation of meal and of soy oil used in food and biofuels. After a tumultuous default that featured a botched nationalization and accusations of fraud by international lenders, Vicentin finally seemed to have secured its future.
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