Costa Rica’s annual inflation rate turned negative in June after soaring to double digits last year, following a series of rate hikes, falling oil prices and a strong local currency, Bloomberg reported. Consumer prices fell 1.04% year-on-year in June, the biggest annual decline since March 2016. Prices rose as much as 12.1% in August 2022. Most of Costa Rica’s inflation was imported via goods, especially gasoline, Adriana Rodriguez, head of local brokerage Grupo Financiero Acobo, said.
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Washington and Beijing are talking again. The test now is whether they can settle into a new normal that avoids upending the global economy — or fall back into a cycle of acrimony and retaliation, the Wall Street Journal reported. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen heads to China on Thursday through Sunday to meet with senior government officials, her department said. The trip comes as tensions over trade, technology and Taiwan prompt both countries to reconsider the deep commercial and investment ties that have defined the relationship for decades.

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A pair of central bank decisions next week will shape the outlook for a wobbly global economy that the World Bank warns in a downbeat new assessment is battling stubbornly high inflation amid the pandemic’s aftermath and the war in Ukraine, the Washington Post reported. The gloomy forecast arrives days after one threat to global growth was eliminated when President Biden signed legislation Saturday to raise the U.S. debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic government default.

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The Canadian dollar weakened to a three-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday as Wall Street stocks fell and data showed Canada's trade balance swinging to a surprise deficit, Reuters reported. The loonie was trading 0.6% lower at 1.3358 to the greenback, or 74.86 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since June 13 at 1.3369. "We had a dreadful trade number," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC.

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Cineworld Group is looking at Eduardo Acuna, who runs the Americas operations of Mexico's Cinepolis, as a potential candidate to take the helm at the embattled British cinema chain operator when it emerges from bankruptcy proceedings, Sky News reported. It is not clear whether Acuna was formally in the frame to take the job or how quickly Cineworld's new owners were seeking to make an appointment, the report said.

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It’s a World of Inflation

From Melbourne to Manchester to Miami, people are struggling under the weight of hefty price increases for the things they buy each day, the New York Times reported. The worst spike in inflation that many advanced economies have seen in decades underscores the global forces driving prices higher, namely the disruptions set in motion by the coronavirus pandemic. The stakes are high for policymakers around the world, who are facing similar problems.

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MSCI's global equities index lost ground on Wednesday after weaker-than-expected overseas data and as investors monitored a heating up of American-Chinese trade tensions while they awaited upcoming U.S. economic data and second-quarter earnings, Reuters reported. Investors shrugged off U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes released on Wednesday that showed a Fed united in its June meeting decision to hold interest rates steady to buy time to assess whether further hikes would be needed. Minutes also showed most members expecting more policy tightening eventually.

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Canada’s economy regained momentum last month, potentially reinforcing the case for a July rate hike even as inflation slowed, Bloomberg News reported. Preliminary data suggest gross domestic product expanded 0.4% during the month, Statistics Canada reported Friday in Ottawa, led higher by manufacturing, wholesale trade and real estate. That followed a flat reading in April, missing expectations for a 0.2% increase in a Bloomberg survey of economists, in part due to a federal workers’ strike. March growth was revised upward to 0.1%.
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Canadian businesses still see inflation running high before edging down slowly, the Bank of Canada said on Friday in a second quarter survey at a time when labor market and wage pressures are seen easing, Reuters reported. Most businesses expect to hire over the next year, but fewer than in the first quarter and about half the number of a year ago. Those seeking to hire expect a labor shortage to be less intense than in previous quarters.
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The Bank of Canada's move to come off the sidelines after a five-month pause has sent a signal that some economic pain will be needed to tame stubborn inflation, leading investors to raise bets on a hard landing for the economy, Reuters reported. The central bank is worried that the Canadian economy is running too hot for inflation to return to its 2% target and that if it waits to act, inflation expectations could rise, making matters worse. Immigration, a key source of strength for the economy, is growing at a record pace.
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