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Brazil
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Brazil’s central bank said it won’t hesitate to raise its interest rate as the inflation outlook worsens, marking a significant change in guidance barely a month after pausing a monetary easing cycle, Bloomberg News reported. The committee “unanimously reinforced that it will not hesitate to raise the interest rate to ensure inflation convergence to the target if it deems it appropriate,” central bankers wrote in minutes to their July 30-31 rate meeting, when they held the benchmark Selic at 10.5% for the second straight time.
Brazil’s annual inflation accelerated more than expected by all analysts in early July, supporting traders’ bets the central bank will have to hike borrowing costs later this year after holding them steady next week, Bloomberg News reported. fficial data released Thursday showed consumer prices increased 4.45% from a year earlier, above the 4.37% median estimate from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Monthly inflation stood at 0.3%. Policymakers are expected to maintain borrowing costs in double-digits for the foreseeable future as inflation forecasts run above the 3% target.
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Brazil's central bank said on Monday a new feature for its popular Pix instant payment system aimed at automatically paying recurring bills will be launched next June instead of this October, as had been originally scheduled, Reuters reported. The delay follows repeated calls from the Brazilian central bank's governor, Roberto Campos Neto, for the approval of a constitutional amendment granting financial autonomy to the institution. Campos Neto argues that given the central bank's current budgetary situation, there may come a time when policymakers face difficulties in operating Pix.
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President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva cast doubt on the need to meet Brazil’s fiscal targets, saying in an interview with a local TV station that he is “not obligated to set a goal and stick to it” if he decides he “has more important things to do,” Bloomberg News reported. “It’s just a matter of vision,” Lula said in the Tuesday interview with Record TV. “This country has no problem if it is a zero deficit, if it is a 0.1% deficit, if it is a 0.2% deficit. There is no problem for the country.
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Brazil’s economy grew slightly less than expected in May though prior figures were revised up, the central bank’s main gauge of activity showed amid signs that borrowing costs will stay high for longer, Bloomberg News reported. The bank’s economic activity index, a proxy for gross domestic product, rose 0.25% from April, below the 0.3% median estimate from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Still, April’s monthly growth was revised to 0.26% from 0.01% previously, according to data published on Monday. From a year ago, the gauge gained 1.3%, the report added.
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Brazil’s annual inflation rate rose less than expected in June, bolstering the central bank after it came under fire from critics for pausing its interest rate cuts to combat simmering price pressures, Bloomberg News reported. Official data released Wednesday showed prices increased 4.23% from a year earlier, below the 4.32% median estimate from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. On the month, inflation stood at 0.21%, under all forecasts.
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Brazil’s top decision-maker on currency intervention signaled he wouldn’t pull the trigger on any move to stem this year’s rout in the real without obtaining full support from the central bank board, Bloomberg News reported. Gabriel Galipolo told investors in private meetings this month he would seek consensus from fellow bank directors before taking action in the foreign exchange market, according to four participants of those gatherings.
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A former executive of Brazilian retailer Americanas accused of connection with an alleged billion-dollar accounting fraud landed at an airport in Sao Paulo on Monday and handed over her passport to the country's federal police, Reuters reported. Anna Saicali was one of the main targets of raids launched by Brazil's police last week as part of their probe into the 25.3 billion-real ($4.53 billion) accounting scandal that led Americanas to file for bankruptcy in January 2023. A court in Rio de Janeiro ordered Saicali's arrest while the former executive was abroad.