With political and social tension in Venezuela on the rise, investors should prepare for the “end game” by seeking out the country’s lowest-priced debt, according to Deutsche Bank AG. The cheapest bonds -- which generally carry longer maturities -- will provide the best return in a scenario under which Venezuela defaults and is forced to restructure, Hongtao Jiang, a strategist at the bank, wrote in a report. Jiang said while he doesn’t expect Venezuela to stop payments this year, it’s a possibility that bond buyers need to be prepared for, Bloomberg News reported.
Read more
Venezuela’s foreign reserves have dropped below $10bn for the first time in 15 years as chronic mismanagement, corruption and subdued oil prices continue to batter what used to be the wealthiest country in South America, the Financial Times reported. The reserves stood at $9.983bn, according to figures published on Friday from the central bank, representing a 77 per cent decrease since January 2009 when they hit a peak of $43bn. The fall comes at a time of heightened political tension.
Read more
The world’s riskiest credit got another jolt after S&P Global Ratings lowered Venezuela’s rating deeper into junk as the economy spirals down amid heightened political tension, Bloomberg News reported. S&P reduced the nation’s long-term foreign and local currency ratings to CCC-, or three notches below investment grade, from CCC on Tuesday. The New York-based company kept its negative outlook for Venezuela, signaling room for further downgrades. Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service also rank the country at speculative levels.
Read more
For more than a year, Oi SA has struggled to reach a deal with various factions jockeying for a leg up in its $19 billion bankruptcy case, Bloomberg News reported. Almost entirely absent from that process? The company’s single biggest creditor. Brazil’s government claims that Oi owes telecom regulator Anatel as much as 20 billion reais ($6.1 billion), but current law forbids the agency from accepting any sort of haircut or extending the payment schedule.
Read more
You'd think that steering a country away from the brink of economic catastrophe might buy a young administration some slack, but not in Argentina, where tolerance for anything short of miracle-making runs thin, a Bloomberg View reported. So maybe it's no surprise that less than two years after taking office and announcing a 21st-century Marshall Plan, President Mauricio Macri is struggling not just to fix South America's second-largest market, but to salvage his career as well.
Read more
Venezuela’s state oil company, one of the most distressed credits in emerging markets, hired BancTrust & Co. to help arrange calls with investors, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter, Bloomberg News reported. The calls with Petroleos de Venezuela SA officials including Chief Financial Officer Simon Zerpa, set to begin July 10, are meant to improve communication with bond investors and will be invitation-only to some of the company’s biggest creditors and emerging-market funds, said the person.
Read more
Bets on a Venezuelan default are climbing as international reserves slump toward $10 billion amid anti-government protests and President Nicolas Maduro’s push to rewrite the constitution. The implied probability of the country missing a payment over the next 12 months rose to 56 percent in June, according to credit-default swaps data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the highest level since December, Bloomberg News reported. The odds of a credit event over the next five years increased to 91 percent last month.
Read more
Tuesday in Venezuela, armed groups attacked Congress and a police helicopter may or may not have dropped grenades onto the Supreme Court. Wednesday’s reaction from traders? Mostly a shrug. Venezuela’s benchmark bonds due in 2027 edged higher, while notes from the state oil company coming due this year were a hair lower, Bloomberg News reported. The cost to insure sovereign debt from default dropped the most in a month.
Read more
A year into its bankruptcy saga, Oi SA is reinforcing to the rest of the world that Brazil is a hazardous place even for the most experienced of investors. In the two decades since the telecom giant was privatized, it’s been strong-armed into disastrous acquisitions and turned into a dumping ground for the debt of its controlling shareholders, Bloomberg News reported. It was used by Brazil’s government to push political policies and was saddled with regulations that drained it of cash.
Read more
Oi SA has unveiled a plan that facilitates the early repayment of small debts to suppliers and contractors, as Brazil's No. 4 wireless carrier seeks to emerge faster from creditor protection, Reuters reported. The plan was made public in newspaper ads on Friday. Under its terms, all creditors will be eligible for an early repayment of their debts to a maximum limit of 50,000 reais ($15,000) each. According to Chief Executive Officer Marco Schroeder, the plan seeks Oi's so-called Classes 1, 3 and 4 of creditors to negotiate ahead of a vote on the carrier's bankruptcy plan.
Read more