North Africa/Middle East

Under Cairo’s baking summer sun, a forecourt of heavily discounted new Toyotas showcases a surprising side-effect of March’s dramatic currency devaluation: prices for big-ticket items are tumbling, Bloomberg News reported. They’ve fallen so much, in fact, that would-be buyers of everything from sofas to refrigerators and automobiles are holding off, convinced they can wait for a better deal. Almost no one is splashing out — and that’s an issue Egypt’s consumer-led economy needs to overcome.

Egypt kept interest rates at an all-time high for a second consecutive meeting, looking to ensure a slowdown in inflation continues after a dramatic currency devaluation, Bloomberg News reported. The central bank maintained the benchmark deposit rate at 27.25% and the lending rate at 28.25%, its Monetary Policy Committee said Thursday in a statement. “The Committee judges that the current monetary stance is appropriate to support the sustained moderation of inflation, and will continue to assess its transmission to the economy in a data-driven manner,” it said in the statement.

The Suez Canal's annual revenue dropped by almost a quarter in its latest financial year as some shippers switched to alternative routes to avoid attacks by Iran-aligned Houthis in the Red Sea, Reuters reported. Osama Rabie, the head of the Egyptian canal's authority said on Thursday revenues fell to $7.2 billion in its 2023-24 financial year from $9.4 billion the year before. Since November, the Houthis have been attacking commercial vessels in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean to show support for Palestinian militant group Hamas in its fight against Israel.

The Bank of Israel (BOI) remains committed to plans for a digital shekel currency to improve Israel's payments system and foster innovation, but is unlikely to launch one ahead of other advanced economies. "We’re all waiting for the first western central bank to pull the trigger, which is almost certainly going to be the ECB. And then you may see a rush of countries going forward with it," Bank of Israel Deputy Governor Andrew Abir told Reuters.

Israel’s central bank unveiled a new outlook that assumes the country faces a longer and more intense war, as it held interest rates for a fourth consecutive time, Bloomberg News reported. Governor Amir Yaron, speaking to reporters on Monday after leaving the benchmark at 4.5%, said officials now expect the conflict against Hamas in Gaza to wind down only in early 2025. The latest staff projections from the bank showed the key rate will probably be at 4.25% in the second quarter of 2025, a more hawkish path than implied earlier.

Israel’s southern Port of Eilat has declared bankruptcy because of the lack of commercial and trade activity, countercurrents.org reported. Eilat Port CEO Gideon Golber said, “The port is completely closed, and there has been no activity in the port for eight months, due to the failure of the coalition countries in the Red Sea.

Egyptian inflation decelerated to the slowest pace in a year and a half, even after a steep currency devaluation and a historic move to raise the cost of subsidized bread, Bloomberg News reported. Consumer prices in urban parts of the North African country grew an annual 28.1% in May, compared with 32.5% the previous month, state statistics agency CAPMAS said Monday. That was lower than forecast by economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., EFG Hermes and Naeem Brokerage.

A key index of activity in Egypt’s non-oil economy climbed to its highest level in almost three years, finally approaching growth territory as inflation cooled and foreign currency became more available after a steep devaluation, Bloomberg News reported. The Purchasing Managers’ Index compiled by S&P Global, which measures the performance of the private sector, rose to 49.6 in May from 47.4 the month before. Though still below the 50 mark that separates expansion from decline, it’s at the highest since August 2021, according to a report published Tuesday.

Egypt’s credit rating outlook was raised to positive from stable by Fitch Ratings, after the North African nation secured an international bailout of $57 billion for its cash-strapped economy, Bloomberg News reported. Fitch affirmed Egypt’s B- rating, leaving it six notches below investment grade. It also came weeks after authorities agreed to a landmark $35 billion investment deal with the United Arab Emirates and additional support from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

Dubai Holding refinanced a 30 billion dirham ($8.2 billion) loan to replace older facilities at the two state-backed developers it absorbed last month, better positioning itself to capitalize on a boom in the city’s real estate market, Bloomberg News reported. The funding will refinance debt held by the firms — Nakheel and Meydan — according to people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. The deal helped secure more favorable terms for the debt, with Emirates NBD Bank PJSC and Mashreqbank PSC underwriting the loan, they said.