Mexico’s inflation eased roughly in line with analysts’ expectations in early April as the central bank weighs ending a record monetary tightening cycle in Latin America’s second-biggest economy, Bloomberg News reported. Consumer prices rose 6.24% in the first half of the month compared to the same period a year earlier, down from 6.58% in late March, the national statistics institute reported Monday.
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The Bank of Mexico's governing board struck a more dovish tone at its March 29 monetary policy meeting, with board members discussing the possibility that the bank's rate-hiking cycle may have reached its end, minutes from the meeting showed Thursday, Reuters reported. Banxico, as the Mexican central bank is known, hiked its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 11.25% at that meeting, moderating the pace of a tightening cycle that began in mid-2021.
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Mexican automotive production and exports rose in March from the same month a year earlier, data from the national statistics agency (INEGI) showed on Monday, Reuters reported. Production increased by 13.12% to 346,124 vehicles, while auto exports rose 3.88% to 272,687 vehicles, the data showed.
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The Mexican economy is seen as expanding up to 3.0% both this year and in 2024 as consumer price inflation is expected to slow, according to a copy of the government's draft budget document seen by Reuters. The finance ministry is set to present the 2024 budget to Congress on Friday. The ministry estimates that Latin America's second-biggest economy will grow between 2.2% and 3.0% this year, and between 1.6% and 3.0% in 2024, according to the document, as the country continues to claw back pandemic-led losses.
Mexico’s inflation eased more than economists expected in early March, likely boosting the odds that the central bank will slow a record monetary tightening cycle at next week’s meeting, Bloomberg News reported. Consumer prices rose 7.12% in the first two weeks of the month from the same period a year earlier, down from 7.48% in late February, the national statistics institute reported Thursday. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as fuel, was 8.15% on an annual basis, below the previous measure of 8.21% and matching economists’ estimate.
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Mexican consumer prices rose less than expected in early March, the national statistics agency said on Thursday, backing bets the central bank could slow the pace of its monetary tightening later this month, Reuters reported. Annual headline inflation in the first half of March hit 7.12%, down from 7.48% in the second of half of February and below market expectations. Mexican core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy products and has in recent months been more stubborn than headline inflation, was 8.15% in annual terms.
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A cohort of TV Azteca SAB’s creditors filed a petition to force the Mexican broadcaster into involuntary bankruptcy in the U.S., the latest twist in drawn-out debt talks, Bloomberg News reported. Holders of about $63 million of unsecured Azteca bonds filed an involuntary chapter 11 petition against the company in New York, according to court papers on Monday. The move marks the second attempt by bondholders to get traction for their claims against Azteca after it defaulted on the $400 million of notes in 2021.
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Bank of Mexico's main focus is tackling inflation, deputy governor Galia Borja said on Thursday, when asked how fears of a banking crisis roiling U.S. and European markets could impact monetary policy at the central bank, Reuters reported. "Many variables come into play," Borja told Reuters on the sidelines of a banking convention in the city of Merida in Mexico's Yucatan peninsula. "But the main one is inflation, which is our mandate." "The behavior of inflation is more important, but we take everything into account," she added.
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Mexico's inflation likely slowed in February but still remained well above the official target, fueling expectations the central bank will raise its key rate again in its next monetary policy announcement at the end of March, Reuters reported. The median forecast of 17 analysts shows annual inflation at 7.69% in February, down from the 7.91% posted in January, but nevertheless far above the Bank of Mexico's target of 3% plus or minus one percentage point.
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Mexico’s central bank trimmed its economic growth forecasts for this year and next, after raising borrowing costs more aggressively than expected in February, Bloomberg News reported. Banxico, as the central bank is known, estimates that gross domestic product will expand 1.6% in 2023, according to the main scenario of its quarterly inflation report released Wednesday. That’s below the 1.8% seen in the previous report, which was published Nov. 30. For 2024, it forecasts growth of 1.8%, down from 2.1%.
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