Just months after an epic banking collapse forced Iceland into the arms of the International Monetary Fund, this island nation is locked in a fierce debate over how to pay off its creditors without ceding too much of its vaunted independence, The New York Times reported. The balance Iceland strikes between bowing to the policy demands of the global financial community and satisfying the desires of its increasingly resentful population of 300,000 will be closely watched as I.M.F. programs in beaten-down economies from Latvia and Ukraine to Hungary and Romania enter a crucial phase.
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Hungary
The Hungarian forint may tumble as much as 13 percent against the euro, reversing a two-month rally, as the nation’s economic slump deepens, Bloomberg reported. The forint lost 3.04 percent versus the euro in the past two days, the biggest drop in emerging markets, after rising as much as 13 percent since March 6. The country is suffering as the euro area, which buys 57 percent of its goods, reduces purchases of products manufactured in Hungary such as Audi cars and Nokia mobile phones. Exports fell 18.2 percent from a year ago in March, according to government figures.
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Russian banks’ bad loans will quadruple to $70 billion this year, deepening the country’s worst financial crisis since the government’s 1998 debt default, a Bloomberg survey shows. Non-performing loans will increase to 12.8 percent of the 18.4 trillion rubles ($549 billion) owed by Russian companies and individuals by the end of this year, from 3.2 percent in March, according to the mean estimate of 17 banking analysts polled by Bloomberg in the past week. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s biggest bank, expects delinquencies to reach 23 percent, Europe’s highest rate after Hungary at 25 percent.
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Hungary’s ruling Socialists began hunting for a new premier to tackle the economic and financial crisis after Ferenc Gyurcsany said he will quit with the nation mired in its worst recession in at least 16 years, Bloomberg reported. His successor, who will need opposition support, would be elected on April 14 by parliament, Gyurcsany, who heads a minority administration, said yesterday. Talks with rival parties are under way. The new Cabinet will have a year to repair Hungary’s finances before the next scheduled elections.
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The forint hit a new low against the euro Friday, continuing a slide spurred Thursday by a Hungarian Banking Association letter instructing its members to fend off rumors of an impending freeze on customers' deposits, The Wall Street Journal reported. The country's central bank quickly sought to assure depositors their money was safe to avoid a run on the banks, but the effort failed to stabilize the currency. On Friday, the forint fell .95% against the euro. The currency has lost more than 20% against the euro since the start of the year.
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European Union leaders, led by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, rejected a call by Hungary for a sweeping bailout of Eastern Europe, as the bloc struggled to find consensus on an approach to the spiraling financial crisis at a summit Sunday, The Wall Street Journal reported. The global recession has greatly strained the bonds holding together the 27 nations that now make up the European Union, formed in the wake of World War II, and poses the most significant challenge in decades to its ideals of solidarity and common interest. Ms.
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One of Europe’s most high profile architects, Erick van Egeraat Associates, has called in the receivers after a number of major projects were put on hold due to the credit crunch, BD reported. The sudden cancellation of work caused a cash-flow crisis at the Rotterdam-based firm, which also has offices in London, Budapest, Moscow and Prague. Law firm De Bok Roijers Gasseling was appointed by the Dutch courts after van Egeraat himself declared the practice insolvent. The practice has about 50 projects on its books from Leipzig to Budapest to Prague.
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Icelanders will take to the streets in the thousands tomorrow to protest the government's failure to clinch a $6 billion International Monetary Fund-led loan while countries in less dire economic straits jump the IMF queue, Bloomberg reported today. Weekly protests in downtown Reykjavik may swell to 20,000 soon, or 6 percent of the population, said Andres Magnusson, chief executive of the Icelandic Federation of Trade and Services. The Atlantic island, which had the fifth-highest per capita income in the world last year, needs the money to finance imports and revive the banking system.
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