Australia's central bank on Tuesday left its cash rate steady at 3.85%, a shock for markets that had confidently wagered on a cut, saying the majority of the board wanted to wait for more information to confirm inflation was slowing, Reuters reported. Traders were quick to send the Australian dollar racing up 0.8% to $0.6543, while three-year bond futures extended earlier losses and fell 10 ticks to 96.60. The swift moves in markets imply around an 88% chance the cash rate would be cut to 3.60% at its Aug. 12 meeting, and now favours rates bottoming at 3.10% rather than 2.85%.

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Australian retail sales barely grew for a fourth straight month in May as gains in clothing purchases were offset by a rare drop in food sales, bolstering the case for another cut in interest rates next week, Reuters reported. The result dashed hopes that lower borrowing costs and rising real incomes would revive household demand, suggesting the Reserve Bank of Australia will have to again downgrade consumption forecasts, in a blow to the economic outlook.
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Job vacancies in Australia rebounded in the May quarter, led by openings in the construction and professional sectors, data showed on Thursday, in a sign demand for labour remained resilient despite a soft economy, Reuters reported. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed vacancies bounced 2.9% in the three months to May, partly reversing a 4.3% drop in the previous quarter ended February. Job openings were still down 2.8% from May last year at 339,400, but that was the smallest annual decline in the past two years.
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Inflation pressures across the Australian economy continued to abate in May, setting the stage for a third cut in interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia next month, the Wall Street Journal reported. The monthly CPI indicator rose by just 2.1% in the 12 months to May, following a 2.4% rise in the 12 months to April. Annual trimmed mean inflation was 2.4% in May, down from 2.8% in April. The RBA cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May, highlighting the growing risks to world growth from the U.S. policy on tariffs and rising geopolitical risks.
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Australia's financial crimes monitoring agency said on Wednesday that it has identified 90 scam victims, money mules and suspected offenders as the top crypto ATM users in the country, amid efforts to address crimes enabled by digital currency, Reuters reported. A nationwide operation led by the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC) examined the most prolific crypto ATM users in each state, and based on the transaction values, identified cases likely linked to scams or fraud.
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Australian employment dipped in May after solid gains the previous month, data showed on Thursday, although full-time jobs jumped and the jobless rate held steady in a sign of continued resilience in the labour market, Reuters reported. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that net employment dipped 2,500 in May from April, when they rose a revised 87,600. That was below market forecasts for a 22,500 increase, though the series has been very volatile in recent months. The jobless rate held at 4.1%, where it has been for over a year now.

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The Victorian Liberal party will provide a $1.5m loan to former leader John Pesutto to ensure he can pay Moira Deeming’s legal fees and avoid bankruptcy, The Guardian reported. The loan was debated by the 19-member administrative committee on Thursday night and ultimately endorsed after a secret ballot, which was proposed to limit any factional retribution within a deeply divided party. Deeming, also a Liberal MP, successfully sued Pesutto for defamation after he falsely implied she sympathised with neo-Nazis and white supremacists.

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