Argentina

Argentina’s new dollar bonds have plunged back into distressed territory just two weeks after the nation restructured almost $65 billion in debt. The securities fell for the fourth consecutive day Monday to an average 39 cents on the dollar, Bloomberg News reported. The $16.1 billion in bonds maturing 2030 tumbled 3.1 cents to 40.3 cents, the lowest since they began trading on Sept. 8 at about 50 cents. The bonds have a spread of around 1,300 basis points over U.S. Treasuries, well above the 1,000 points many investors consider to be the threshold for debt to be classified as distressed.

Argentina’s honeymoon with the International Monetary Fund is about to be tested as it looks to update a $57 billion agreement struck two years ago that failed to prevent a slide into recession and the country’s ninth sovereign default, Reuters reported. The IMF, often the target of angry protests in the streets of Buenos Aires, has looked to soften its tone with Argentina as the center-left Peronist government has restructured over $100 billion with private creditors this year. Now it is IMF money on the table.

Argentina’s standing in global markets is at risk once again after it moved this week to further restrict access to dollars as foreign reserves dry, a move analysts say will hit its much-needed economic revival and investor sentiment, Reuters reported. The central bank on Tuesday tightened the noose for dollar purchases, adding a 35% tax on people who tap a $200 monthly quota, and said card payments abroad would be included in the allowance. It also limited corporate access to foreign currency.

Despite one of the world’s longest and strictest lockdowns, the death toll in Argentina keeps rising. The increase in daily deaths from Covid-19 is the sixth highest in the world. More than 10,000 people have died so far. Argentina’s rate of about 234 deaths per million is still lower than its big neighbours — in Brazil and Chile, that rate exceeds 600 deaths per million — but the economic consequences of its lockdown have been especially dire, the Financial Times reported.

Argentina has defused fears of a messy default after it gained backing from creditors, allowing it to exchange 99% of the bonds involved in a $65 billion restructuring, a deal that could set a precedent for future sovereign crises, Reuters reported. After months of winding and tense negotiations, framed by the coronavirus pandemic, bondholders tendered 93.55% of the eligible bonds in the exchange, Economy Minister Martin Guzman said at a news conference on Monday.

After four months of tense debt talks, multiple pushed deadlines and amendments since an initial low-ball offer in April, bondholders will decide on Friday whether to accept the country’s $65 billion restructuring proposal, Reuters reported. The main three creditor committees holding a large chunk of the bonds backed a deal earlier this month, bolstering confidence that the government will get the required level of support to allow a full deal to go ahead without holdouts.

Argentina’s government formally requested negotiations to begin with the International Monetary Fund on a new program to replace a record $57 billion agreement from 2018 which failed to lift its crisis-prone economy, Bloomberg News reported. Officials called for the beginning of consultations ahead of a program that will address $44 billion in payments owed to the multilateral lender as part of its previous arrangement that was never fully disbursed, according to a letter sent to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and posted on Twitter on Wednesday.

As serial defaulters Argentina and Ecuador near the finishing line on their latest sovereign debt overhauls, foreign creditors are nervy about investing again without macroeconomic reforms and International Monetary Fund support, Reuters reported. On the surface, the prospects for both countries look brighter. Absent complicated negotiations with the IMF, a clean slate post-debt restructuring will allow them to focus on reviving their COVID-19-ravaged economies with much less concern about looming foreign debts to repay.

Argentine bonds extended a recent dip on Tuesday after the government formalized its $65 billion debt restructuring offer, underscoring investor concern about the South American country’s shaky economy despite creditors’ rallying behind a deal, Reuters reported. Argentina’s over-the-counter bonds closed down an average of 0.3% and traded at around 45-50 cents on the dollar, well below the 54.8 cents net present value (NPV) of the government’s proposal. The country’s risk index also edged up.

Fitch Ratings said it downgraded the province of Entre Ríos in central Argentina to C from CCC after the provincial government missed a payment on its 8.75% 2025 bonds, LatinFinance reported. Entre Ríos was scheduled to pay $21.9 million in interest on August 8, but it said on August 6 that it planned to renegotiate the 2025 bonds due to negative macroeconomic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Fitch said in a report on Wednesday. The province entered a 30-day grace period for the missed payment as it started the debt restructuring process, Fitch added.