Pakistan’s central bank left interest rates unchanged to stop growth from weakening and rein in inflation as the cash-strapped nation and the International Monetary Fund remain deadlocked over bailout loans, Bloomberg News reported. The State Bank of Pakistan’s monetary policy committee decided to keep the target rate at a record 21%, a move expected by a majority of the 44 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Seven forecast a hike of a 100 basis points and one saw a 200 basis points jump.
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Pakistan
Pakistan’s cash-strapped government on Friday presented its draft for the national budget, allocating funds to fight climate change despite staggering $30 billion in losses from last summer's devastating floods, the Associated Press reported. Lawmakers are expected to approve the proposal by the end of the month, after a clause-by-clause discussion. Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif's government, which succeeded that of former Premier Imran Khan, has struggled with an unprecedented economic downturn since taking over last year.
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Pakistan's central bank raised its key interest rate to a record 21% on Tuesday as the cash-strapped country bid to curb crippling food inflation and maintain the confidence of foreign creditors, Reuters reported. The 100 basis-point (bp) increase by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) was less than the 200 forecast by a Reuters poll of analysts as the country grapples with record annual consumer inflation of over 35%. Global factors have compounded consumer inflation already buoyed by Pakistan's weakening currency, energy tariff increases and hikes in food prices due to Ramadan.
Pakistan has the habit of intentionally creating controversies in order to divert public attention from its own failures, according to a Financial Express analysis. Just last week, Esther Perez Ruiz, who is IMF’s Resident Representative to Pakistan was forced to speak out and clear the air on Islamabad’s “posturing on several key matters.” She told the media that there is no truth in Pakistan Finance Minister Ishaq Dar’s statement that the IMF has asked Islamabad to compromise on its nuclear programme if it wants funds.
Pakistan will be required to give an assurance that its balance of payments deficit is fully financed for the fiscal year ending in June to unlock the next tranche of IMF funding, the fund's resident representative said on Monday, Reuters reported. The funding is critical for the South Asian economy, which is facing a balance of payments crisis, with its central bank foreign exchange reserves dropping to levels barely able to cover four weeks of imports.
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Bondholders are bracing for a potential default by Pakistan as the beleaguered nation struggles to meet billions of dollars in debt repayments by June, Bloomberg News reported. The nation’s dollar bonds due next year slid to the lowest since November on Thursday as investors weighed its ability to honor $7 billion of repayments in the coming months, including a Chinese loan of $2 billion due in March, according to Fitch Ratings. The rupee slumped 6.7% to 285.09 per dollar at close, according to State Bank of Pakistan.
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Pakistan pledged to pay its sovereign debt obligations this year as it treads close to a possible default with foreign-exchange reserves covering less than a month of imports, Bloomberg News reported. “Come what may, we will be paying off all of our anticipated payments this year,” Commerce Minister Syed Naveed Qamar said in an interview in Washington Tuesday. The government will fulfill its international financial obligations, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said in a statement the same day.
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Talks between the International Monetary Fund and Pakistan will resume virtually on Monday, a Pakistani official said, as the two sides look to reach a deal to unlock funding critical to keep the cash-strapped south Asian country afloat, Reuters reported. The two could not reach a deal last week and a visiting IMF delegation departed Islamabad after 10 days of talks, but said negotiations would continue. Pakistan is in dire need of funds as it battles a wrenching economic crisis.
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Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has invited politicians including opposition leader Imran Khan for a conference amid negotiations with the International Monetary Fund to avoid bankruptcy, Bloomberg News reported. Sharif has called an all-parties conference on February 7 amid economic and terrorism challenges, state-run Pakistan Television reports. A team from the lender is visiting Pakistan until February 9 to revive its loan program. Sharif’s ruling coalition government toppled Khan as prime minister in a confidence vote last year.
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Pakistan’s moves to loosen its grip on the currency and increase fuel prices indicate that the beleaguered nation is finally taking the unpopular decisions needed to secure the $6.5 billion bailout program from the International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg News reported. The rupee fell to as low as 270 per dollar on Monday, according to the foreign-exchange desk at AKD Securities Ltd., as authorities allowed the currency to be more determined by the market, one of the preconditions of the IMF for the loan.
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