Since surviving an IMF bailout and violent change of government during the Asian financial crisis, Indonesia has shown an uncanny resilience in bouncing back from global selloffs, Bloomberg News reported in a commentary. As soon as the dust settles, investors are lured by higher yields and the promise of a young and vibrant population. Foreigners now own more than 30% of the country’s sovereign debt. This time, they may not return. The key reason is the pile of debt at state-owned enterprises that President Joko Widodo, known as Jokowi, has built up since taking office in 2014.
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Indonesian banks are looking to the government for additional stimulus measures to cope with a growing pile up of bad loans, as the coronavirus pandemic batters the economy, Bloomberg News reported. The country’s lenders are poised to add at least 556.6 trillion rupiah ($36 billion) of non-performing loans this year amid the unprecedented headwinds from the Covid-19 pandemic, according to PT Bank UOB Indonesia. That will push their soured debt ratio above 5%, from 2.8% at the end of January, the bank estimates.
Indonesia will expand tax incentives it currently gives to some manufacturing industries to cover 11 more sectors to prevent “massive bankruptcy” due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, officials said on Friday, Reuters reported. Governments around the world have provided stimulus measures to alleviate the threat to their economies from the widespread travel curbs and shutdowns of schools and businesses that have been triggered by the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus.
The Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS) denied on Thursday media reports that its stress test had shown eight banks at risk of collapse under the government’s worst-case scenario for the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak, Reuters reported. LPS Chairman Halim Alamsyah told an online briefing there were no indications any Indonesian bank would fail. “All banking indicators are normal and their fundamentals sound,” said Alamsyah, a former member of the Indonesian central bank’s board of governors.
The coronavirus crisis is creating a new threat for Indonesia’s debt-laden state-owned businesses, Bloomberg News reported. Many had binged on debt for years, faced accusations of mismanagement and even corruption, and were running into repayment problems before the virus struck. Now a slump in revenues and a credit crunch triggered by the dollar’s surge mean those risks will get a whole lot worse. “Covid-19 is exacerbating some of the challenges of the state-owned sector,” said Xavier Jean, an analyst at S&P Global Ratings in Singapore.
The coronavirus outbreak couldn’t have come at a worse time for PT Garuda Indonesia, pummeling demand at the flag carrier just as it faces a debt bill for half a billion dollars, Bloomberg News reported. Debt market concern about sagging travel demand and the impact of financial market turmoil has caused Garuda’s $500 million notes due on June 3 to tumble to a record low of 55.3 cents on the dollar, according to Bloomberg-compiled prices. The securities have dropped 5.9 cents this week after sinking 36 cents last week.
State-owned steelmaker Krakatau Steel has received approval from its creditors to restructure its loans totaling US$2 billion (Rp 27 trillion) by, among other changes, rescheduling repayment to 2027 in order to be able to revive its business, The Jakarta Post reported. Krakatau Steel president director Silmy Karim said in Jakarta on Tuesday that the debt restructuring would cut interest payments to $466 million from $847 million and cut costs by around $685 until 2027.
Indonesian authorities are weighing the induction of a strategic investor into a unit of the nation’s oldest insurer that’s on the brink of collapse after alleged fund mismanagement left a $2 billion hole in its books, Bloomberg News reported. PT Asuransi Jiwasraya has submitted a restructuring proposal to the Financial Services Authority that includes the stake sale in unit PT Jiwasraya Putra and securing financial assistance from a planned holding company for state insurers, according to Riswinandi, commissioner for non-banking financial industry at the authority, known as OJK.
Indonesia has more reason than most to be wary of backsliding on its commitment to budget discipline, Bloomberg News reported. Its deficit ceiling is an important piece of the economic and political architecture that emerged from the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s. Indonesia experienced more than just a run on the currency, a deep recession and a rescue by the International Monetary Fund. The crunch morphed into riots, communal violence and the overthrow of dictator Suharto, who had ruled with military backing for more than three decades.
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