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Interest rates eventually should fall back to levels seen before the outbreak of COVID-19, with advanced economies again within sight of the "zero lower bound" and developing countries seeing rates in steady decline, the International Monetary Fund said in a new analysis of whether the "natural" rate of interest was changed by the pandemic, Reuters reported.
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Chinese provinces plan to boost spending on major construction projects by almost a fifth this year as Beijing continues to rely on infrastructure to spur an economy being hindered by consumers still bruised from years of pandemic restrictions, Bloomberg News reported. About two thirds of China’s regions have announced spending plans for major projects such as transport infrastructure, energy generation and industrial parks this year, adding up to more than 12.2 trillion yuan ($1.8 trillion), according to a Bloomberg analysis of government statements and state-media reports.
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China's consumer inflation hit an 18-month low and factory-gate price declines sped up in March as demand stayed persistently weak, shoring up the case for policymakers to take more steps to support the uneven economic recovery, Reuters reported. In contrast to surging prices globally, China's retail and producer inflation has remained anaemic as the consumer and industrial sectors struggle to recover from their pandemic hit. Analysts now think consumer inflation could fall short of Beijing's official targets this year.
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China's new bank lending hit an all-time high in the first quarter while broad credit growth quickened as the central bank kept up policy support for the economy after the lifting of stringent COVID-19 curbs, Reuters reported. The world's second-largest economy rebounded from pandemic disruptions driven by consumption and infrastructure. To spur credit growth, the central bank in March cut banks' reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for the first time this year.
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Australia’s consumer confidence surged and business sentiment showed ongoing resilience after the country’s Reserve Bank left its key interest rate unchanged for the first time in its almost yearlong tightening cycle, Bloomberg News reported. Consumer sentiment jumped 9.4% in April to 85.8, a Westpac Banking Corp. survey showed Tuesday. Still Westpac’s Chief Economist Bill Evans expects household spending this year to be lackluster with confidence remaining 10.4% below the level in April 2022, the month before the RBA began raising rates. A separate National Australia Bank Ltd.
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South Korea's central bank on Tuesday held interest rates steady and warned against expectations for a rate cut within this year, saying cooling but still high inflation posed a bigger risk than an economic slump. Remarks by the bank's governor at a news conference were largely neutral, but economists said the unanimous rate decision indicated the board has turned more dovish than at the previous meeting, when there was one member voting for a hike. The Bank of Korea's board kept the base rate unchanged at 3.50%, as it did on Feb. 23 and as expected.
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Brazil’s annual inflation slowed more expected, reaching the lowest since January 2021 as congress prepares to debate President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s new fiscal framework meant to shore up the nation’s finances, Bloomberg News reported. Official data released Tuesday showed consumer prices rose 4.65% in March compared to the year prior, less than February’s reading of 5.6% and below the 4.71% median estimate from analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Monthly inflation slowed to 0.71%.
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India's bankruptcy court has allowed the acquisition of Anudan Properties by Mumbai-based developer KGK Realty (India). The Committee of Creditors (CoC) approved KGK Realty's resolution plan with 76.35% voting, the Economic Times of India reported. Other developers such as Aanya Real Estate and a consortium of Ashdan Properties, and NNP Buildcon had also submitted revival plans for the company. The development is an indication of the rising trend of several established developers with sound financials scouting for deals in the property sector through the bankruptcy process.
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Cash-strapped Shanghai-listed Chinese property developer Sichuan Languang Development is facing delisting risks, after its closing price fell below one yuan per share for two consecutive days and the company warns of insolvency, Nikkei Asia reported. Shares of Sichuan Languang tumbled 7.77% from 1.07 yuan ($0.16) to close at 0.95 yuan on Thursday. On Friday, the company closed further down 2.11% to 0.93 yuan per share. That puts the developer on the cusp of getting booted from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE).
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World Bank Group President David Malpass said on Monday that the lender has revised its 2023 global growth outlook slightly upward to 2% from a January forecast of 1.7% but the slowdown from stronger 2022 growth will increase debt distress for developing countries, Reuters reported. Malpass told a media briefing that the upward revision was due to an improved outlook for China's recovery from COVID-19 lockdowns, with growth now pegged at 5.1% this year compared to 4.3% in the bank's January Global Economic Prospects report.
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