Forget slap-downs from European officials and the soaring risk premium to Berlin, this is what should keep populists in Rome awake at night: Bond yields have already jumped to the point where Italy’s $2.7 trillion debt load will expand faster than the economy is projected to grow, Bloomberg News reported. The nation’s weighted-average yield needs to drop to about 2.63 percent from 3.21 percent for it to exit the danger zone, Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Rabobank, told asset managers in meetings in Madrid last week.
Resources Per Country
- Albania
- Austria
- Belarus
- Belgium
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Bulgaria
- Croatia
- Czech Republic
- Denmark
- Estonia
- Finland
- France
- Germany
- Gibraltar
- Greece
- Guernsey
- Hungary
- Iceland
- Ireland
- Isle of Man
- Italy
- Jersey
- Kosovo
- Latvia
- Liechtenstein
- Lithuania
- Luxembourg
- Macedonia
- Malta
- Moldova
- Monaco
- Montenegro
- Netherlands
- Norway
- Poland
- Portugal
- Romania
- Russia
- San Marino
- Serbia
- Slovakia
- Slovenia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- Ukraine
- United Kingdom
- Vatican City
Bond markets are signaling that German retailer Douglas Gmbh, which grew over two centuries from a small perfumery and soap maker in Hamburg into one of the largest beauty chains in Europe, may have expanded too far, Bloomberg News reported. Investors are concerned the private company will struggle to repay 2.1 billion euros ($2.4 billion) of debt used to fund its buyout and purchase of brick-and-mortar chains as the rise of online competition pressures retailers from Toys “R” Us Inc. to Sears Holdings Corp. to close shops or restructure debt.
The Lehman Brothers bankruptcy threw the United States into an epoch-defining financial storm. Imagine 300 of them going bust at once. That, in relative terms, is what Iceland endured a decade ago during its banking crisis, which on this rugged island steeped in myths of gods and giants is now known as "hrunid" — the collapse.
Separating the signal from the noise is not always easy, especially in Italy. However, this time the signal is loud and clear: Italy is going for fiscal loosening. It’s the wrong approach for several reasons, the Financial Times reported in a commentary. If the aim is to tackle the country’s high debt through faster economic growth, the old-style stimulus that is being proposed will not work. It generates only a temporary boost to demand, leaving the country with an even higher debt burden and elevated borrowing costs.
A summary judgment application for €1.7 million against former AIB and Central Bank director Bernard Somers in relation to a loan that was secured on various assets, including his home in Foxrock, Dublin, has been struck out at the Commercial Court after the sides reached an agreement, The Irish Times reported. Launceston Property Finance DAC had brought the case arising from a demand issued on October 4th, 2017 for some €1.76 million allegedly outstanding on a €3.62 million loan but the matter was adjourned for talks.
Aryzta, the troubled Irish-Swiss baked goods group, has been urged to halve the scale of a planned €800 million rights issue designed to pay down debt and fund the group through a major restructuring of its operations, The Irish Times reported. Cobas Asset Management, the Spanish group that is Aryzta’s largest single shareholder, said on Monday that it is requesting an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders to reduce the money being raised to €400 million. Cobas owns almost 15 per cent of Aryzta’s voting stock.
Italy’s bond markets may be underpricing the risk of the nation having to restructure its debt, Bloomberg News reported. Credit default swaps, which protect investors against the nation failing to pay off its debts, suggest that Italian debt securities are still too expensive, according to NatWest Markets. To counter that, investors should place a curve flattening trade, betting on short-dated bonds selling off more than those further out, it said.
Euro zone banks have a large shortfall in their loss-absorbing buffers and now face tougher market conditions for building them up due to higher volatility and widening spreads in sovereign yields, the bloc’s banking watchdogs said on Monday. Under international and EU banking rules, large banks must issue special loss-absorbing debt known as TLAC and MREL that can be converted into capital if a crisis burns through their core capital buffer, Reuters reported.
Italy’s government late Monday approved a draft budget law for next year, confirming a set of expansionary measures that could lead to a fast-rising deficit and a conflict with the European Union, The Wall Street Journal reported. The government, a coalition of the antiestablishment 5 Star Movement and the far-right League, has rattled financial markets in the past month with its budget plans, with investors demanding significantly higher interest rates to buy the country’s bonds. The full draft budget law will be sent to the Italian parliament by Saturday.